Trends & Emerging Technology

An Internet Generation Every 10–15 Years: How Can Taiwan Regain Its Place After Falling Behind in Mobile?

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Robin’s commentary (as of October 2021)

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English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2021-10-29. Translated 2026-10-30 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

Robin suggests that the internet advances by a generation roughly every ten to fifteen years. The first, based on PCs, took shape between 1990 and 1995. The second moved from PCs to mobile after the iPhone’s launch in 2007. He asks whether the third will be the metaverse, describing Facebook’s renaming as Meta as its opening act. Taiwan, he observes, seems to have fallen behind in the mobile-internet era. China’s tighter policy restrictions that year—2021—have instead created an opportunity for Taiwan. He hopes innovation and increased investment can restore Taiwan’s leadership in the next internet generation. These are his views and aspirations from October 2021.

Key points

  • The internet advances roughly every ten to fifteen years: PCs, mobile, and the next generation, with the metaverse posed as a question.
  • Taiwan seems to have fallen behind in the mobile-internet era.
  • Robin hopes innovation and investment can restore a leading role in the next generation.
  • Views from October 2021, not a prediction.
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Full text — English translation

The internet advances by a generation every ten to fifteen years. Taiwan seems to have fallen behind in the mobile-internet era, while China repeatedly rode that wave to rapid growth, innovating with a range of business models and gaining momentum from a frenzy of capital. After China tightened policy restrictions this year, an opportunity has instead emerged for Taiwan. I hope that through “innovation” and “increased investment,” we can regain a leading position in the next internet generation. The first generation of the internet, based on PCs, gradually took shape between 1990 and 1995. The second moved from PCs to mobile after Steve Jobs introduced the iPhone in 2007. Will the third generation of the internet be the metaverse? With the metaverse carrying people’s expectations for the next internet generation, Zuckerberg’s renaming of Facebook as Meta has officially raised the curtain on its opening act.

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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