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A Funding Winter Ahead: Three Fundraising Principles and a Capital-Market Plan

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Robin’s commentary (as of April 2025)

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Collected in Robin Shen’s Field Notes · Content type and attribution are shown above

English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2025-04-06. Translated 2026-11-04 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

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Robin and his supervisor asked several startups about preparing for the Taiwan Innovation Board and received cautious responses, largely reflecting doubts about their appeal after listing. He argues that this is precisely the critical moment to plan how to survive a funding winter. Rising global uncertainty will make fundraising harder. He offers four suggestions: customer revenue is preferable to shareholder funding; prepare rather than expecting fundraising to solve everything; create a fresh financing plan investors can believe in; and develop a capital-market plan to improve the ability to endure.

Key points

  • Money from customers is preferable to money from shareholders.
  • Do not expect fundraising to solve every problem.
  • Develop a fresh financing proposal and a capital-market plan.
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Full text — English translation

Recently, in discussions with my supervisor, we asked several startups about plans to prepare for the Taiwan Innovation Board. Their responses were relatively cautious, mainly because they lacked confidence in their appeal after listing and felt their projects might not look attractive now. Yet this is precisely a critical moment: find a way to survive until the funding winter ends. With ‘Emperor Trump’ making his moves, one thing is certain: global uncertainty is rising rapidly. No one can truly tell what he intends, or whether tomorrow’s words will match today’s. Greater uncertainty only makes fundraising harder. Previously promised investments may be withdrawn, since even corporate venture capital investors may not know whether they themselves can hold on. If a funding winter arrives, consider these three fundraising principles: 1. Money from customers is better than money from shareholders. 2. Prepare for the approaching funding winter. Help yourself before others can help you. Do not expect fundraising to solve everything, because raising capital may be very difficult for some time. 3. You need a new financing plan: a fresh winning proposition investors can believe in. 4. One added point: ideally, have a capital-market plan. Having one—or already being in the capital market—gives you greater confidence in surviving the coming winter. Only by surviving can you win the market.

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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