Venture Capital & InvestingFeatured

Netflix Falls 70% in Six Months: Why Should Startups Insist on Peak Valuations?

Share this article
LINEFacebook

Robin’s commentary

Storage information

Bookmarks and reading positions are stored in this browser. Manage and back them up in My Reading.

Collected in Robin Shen’s Field Notes · Content type and attribution are shown above

English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2022-04-26. Translated 2026-10-27 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

Secondary markets react quickly to company value. Netflix, a global streaming giant spending US$18 billion a year on production, was built by visionary founder Reed Hastings, who defeated Blockbuster, created a streaming industry, disrupted cable television, and influenced Silicon Valley through a distinctive culture. Even such a legendary company could lose 70% of its market value in six months. Why should private-market startups insist on last year’s peak valuation—or more? Robin adds that global inflation, monetary tightening, and rising interest rates would make fundraising harder in the near term than in the second half of 2021. To keep moving, founders need tangible results and compelling reasons for investors to support them. These observations date to April 2022.

Key points

  • Netflix’s market value fell 70% in six months, as discussed in 2022.
  • If a legendary company can fall so far, why should startups insist on peak valuations?
  • Inflation and rate hikes make fundraising harder; produce tangible results.
  • Private-market valuations need to reflect the new reality.
Trees at different stages of growth with connected roots on cream paper, suggesting patient cultivation and lasting value.
Venture capital & investmentThematic illustration · AI generated

Full text — English translation

Robin: ‘Secondary markets still react very quickly to company value. Netflix, the global streaming giant, spends US$18 billion a year on film and television production. Reed Hastings is such a visionary founder: he seized his era’s opportunity to knock down former distribution giant Blockbuster and create a whole new streaming industry, thoroughly disrupting the global cable television ecosystem. Netflix also has a distinctive culture and has published several books influencing Silicon Valley organizations and cultures. Even a company as legendary as Netflix can lose 70% of its market value in six months. Why, then, can private-market startups insist on the same valuation as last year’s peak—or even higher?’ Robin: ‘Global inflation is leading to monetary tightening and interest-rate increases. In the near term, fundraising can be expected to be harder than in the second half of 2021. If you need to keep moving forward, you must deliver tangible results and compelling reasons for investors to support you at this stage.’

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

Share this article
LINEFacebook

DISCUSSION

Reader comments

What did this article make you think about? Different perspectives and constructive criticism are welcome.

Comments are public immediately. Do not include personal contact details or external links. Automated checks block suspicious solicitation, prohibited transactions and spam; they can make mistakes.

0 / 2000

Comments load when you reach this section.

    Administrator sign-in

    My reading notes

    These notes stay in this browser and are not published. Writing a note also saves the article. Back up or move your notes in My Reading.

    Manage my bookmarks and notes →

    STAY CURIOUS

    Save a good question for your next visit.

    Save this article, or follow the Facebook page and RSS feed for additions. Historical articles retain their original publication dates.

    Browse All articlesSearch articles and full text →