Trends & Emerging Technology

An Optimistic Attitude Toward AI: It Still Lacks “Imagination” and Value Judgment—as Viewed in Late 2022

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Robin’s commentary (drawing on Sapiens; as of December 2022)

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Collected in Robin Shen’s Field Notes · Content type and attribution are shown above

English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2022-12-13. Translated 2026-10-31 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

The post draws on Harari’s argument in Sapiens: humans can build large-scale social organizations because they have the extraordinary ability to imagine things that do not exist. Shared imagination makes cooperation at scale possible. Robin’s personal view is that AI still lacks imagination, including the ability to derive new knowledge and generate new insights. It functions more like a system that assembles and presents large amounts of existing information, and it may even lack the ability to make value judgments. For example, when asked whether vaccines are beneficial or harmful, AI can gather much of the information online and draw a conclusion, but that conclusion still rests on existing scientific data available online. This is a personal assessment from December 2022; AI’s capabilities have changed since then.

Key points

  • Cited idea: imagining things that do not exist is the extraordinary ability that enables human cooperation.
  • Robin’s view in December 2022: AI still lacks imagination, new insights, and value judgment.
  • AI functions more like a system that assembles and presents existing information.
  • This is an assessment from a particular moment, not a description of AI’s current capabilities.
A magnifying lens examines layered signals and data textures, suggesting technological exploration and judgment.
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Full text — English translation

An optimistic, proactive attitude toward AI In Sapiens, Harari argues that humans were able to set themselves apart from other animals and build large-scale social organizations because they possessed an extraordinary ability: imagining things that do not exist. Shared imagination, especially religion, made cooperation among large numbers of people possible. My personal view is that today’s AI still lacks “imagination,” including the ability to derive “new knowledge” and generate “new insights.” For now, AI is more about assembling and presenting large amounts of existing information. It may even lack the ability to make value judgments. Suppose you ask AI whether vaccines are beneficial or harmful. After gathering much of the information available online, it can reach a data-based conclusion that the benefits outweigh the harms. But that still depends on most of the existing scientific data online supporting the conclusion that vaccines are beneficial.

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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