Venture Capital & Investing

The Curse After Fundraising: Too Much Money or Too High a Valuation Can Push a Startup Toward the Cliff

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Robin’s commentary, preceded by excerpts from Dedao’s audio summary of 成長雙螺旋

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Collected in Robin Shen’s Field Notes · Content type and attribution are shown above

English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2026-03-27. Translated 2026-11-05 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

The opening audio-summary excerpts argue that performance is often weakest in the year after fundraising, as attention shifts from doing the work to proving the company deserves the money. Robin adds that pursuing an excessive valuation, raising capital, then failing to deliver expected results pushes a team toward a cliff. Startups do not always starve; many overfeed themselves. Immediate hiring and advertising expansion can raise expenses before the organization, product, user experience, and sales are ready. Faster cash burn then makes the next funding round a harsh test.

Key points

  • An excessive valuation without matching results pushes a team toward danger.
  • Rapid expansion after fundraising can raise expenses faster than results.
  • Startups may fail from overfeeding rather than starvation.
Trees at different stages of growth with connected roots on cream paper, suggesting patient cultivation and lasting value.
Venture capital & investmentThematic illustration · AI generated

Full text — English translation

The Curse After Successful Fundraising Many founders experience this: the first year after receiving money, or the following year, is often the weakest in business performance. It is not because the team is not working hard. It may be working too hard, but in a different direction. With external investors watching, attention quietly shifts from doing solid work and improving capabilities to proving that the company deserves the investment. Without noticing, the whole team enters a tense performance zone. Actions become distorted, decisions become short-sighted, and greater effort takes the team further from its original goals. The resulting crisis can be a good thing. With poor results, there is nothing left to perform. The team must honestly examine the past year’s business details: every data point, user response, and disappointing step. The answers were always in those details. But a team busy proving itself has no attention left for operational changes. That is the performance paradox in practice. Sometimes teams can see problems, but external judgments and short-term metrics consume their attention. ‘We must prove we are worth this much money’ becomes an enormous trap, absorbing attention and blinding people to what matters. #Dedao audio summary of 成長雙螺旋 ---- Robin: ‘A team pursuing an excessive valuation may raise substantial money at its desired price, then fail to produce expected performance. That pushes it toward the cliff. As I often say, startups do not necessarily starve; more overfeed themselves, or drive themselves into a dead end. Many teams receive money and immediately expand staff and organization, advertising, and marketing budgets. New people arrive while the organization is still adjusting, the product is still being refined, the user experience improved, and reputation built. Money arrives, expansion accelerates, costs soar, but performance does not follow. Cash burns faster. Raising again becomes a brutal test of the original budget and results—and often, there is no next chapter.’

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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