Trends & Emerging Technology

Japan’s Moon Landing and Taiwan’s Industries: Difficult Challenges Can Also Nurture Critical-Component Suppliers

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Robin’s commentary (as of January 2024)

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English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2024-01-20. Translated 2026-11-04 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

At the time of the post, Japan had become the fifth country to land on the Moon. Robin recounts a conversation the previous day with two aerospace experts, using Taiwan’s automotive industry as an example. Its domestic market was too small to support a vehicle manufacturer at scale, but the process helped develop many globally competitive component suppliers. He sees a possible parallel in aerospace and satellites. Launching a Taiwan-made rocket into space might not prove cost-effective, yet developing several influential suppliers of critical components along the way would still be a benefit. The difficulty of the task is precisely why it is worth attempting: confronting difficult challenges can help us become better versions of ourselves.

Key points

  • Taiwan’s small market has not supported a vehicle manufacturer at scale, but it has nurtured component suppliers.
  • Aerospace and satellites could follow a similar path by developing suppliers of critical components.
  • Difficult tasks are worth attempting; the process can help us improve.
  • The ‘fifth country to land on the Moon’ description and investment amounts reflect the post’s historical overview and have not been independently verified.
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Full text — English translation

Japan has become the fifth country to land on the Moon, after the United States, the Soviet Union, India, and China. Yesterday I spoke with two aerospace experts, using Taiwan’s automotive industry as an example. Because Taiwan’s market is too small, it cannot support a vehicle manufacturer at scale. Even with tens of billions invested, decades of work, and the backing of an ambitious dream passed down through entrepreneurial families, none has built a car brand at scale. Our discussion led to this conclusion: although Taiwan still has not built a globally influential, well-known automotive brand, the process has produced many globally competitive automotive component suppliers for Taiwan. The same reasoning applies to aerospace and satellites. We may ultimately be unable to make launching a Taiwan-made rocket into space cost-effective. But if the process develops several influential suppliers of critical components in Taiwan’s aerospace industry, that is a benefit too. Robin: ‘This is worth attempting precisely because it is difficult. By confronting difficult challenges, we can become better versions of ourselves.’

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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