Venture Capital & Investing

The High-Valuation Trap: Where Does Your Attention Go as Valuations Rise?

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Collected in Robin Shen’s Field Notes · Content type and attribution are shown above

English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2022-12-24. Translated 2026-10-27 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

Entrepreneurship often runs against human instinct, and chasing a high valuation is a major trap. When capital is plentiful, a barely started company can be valued above many listed businesses. Founders may develop an inflated sense of importance and think they run a large company when little exists yet. Rising valuations also impose competing demands: justify the last round to existing shareholders, make the current round attractive to new investors, and prepare a bigger story for the next. Attention shifts from products and customers to financing and valuation. Trying to serve three rounds’ valuations leads to poor decisions and misallocated resources. Written in late 2022 as the capital environment changed.

Key points

  • High valuations can pull founders away from business fundamentals.
  • A startup can mistake itself for a large company and develop an inflated ego.
  • Serving the previous, current, and next valuations can consume all attention with fundraising.
  • Poor decisions and inappropriate resource allocation follow.
Trees at different stages of growth with connected roots on cream paper, suggesting patient cultivation and lasting value.
Venture capital & investmentThematic illustration · AI generated

Full text — English translation

Entrepreneurship runs against human instinct in many ways. Many entrepreneurs chase high valuations, but a high valuation can itself be a major trap. Pursuing and trying to maintain one often leads a founder to make many poor judgments. A founder chasing a high valuation can drift away from the core of the business in both thinking and decisions. During the capital glut of recent years, a company could command a high market valuation almost as soon as it started—even higher than many listed companies. Founders might then think and act as though they already ran a large company, when they were only starting and perhaps had practically nothing. When a high valuation gives founders an inflated ego and the feeling that they run a large company, their attention and thinking can lose focus. As your valuation rises, you must demonstrate that the previous round’s valuation has been justified and answer to its shareholders. You must also establish that the current round’s valuation is reasonable and attractive to new shareholders, while thinking up an even bigger story and project for the next round. Focus becomes difficult. Too much energy goes into fundraising and valuation rather than products and customers. For the sake of the previous valuation, this round’s valuation, and the next round’s valuation, you make poor decisions, misguided arrangements, and inappropriate resource allocations.

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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